22-01-2022 by Freddie del Curatolo
The new year has yet to bring any political news in Kenya, just over six months before presidential and parliamentary elections.
The two main candidates who will seek to replace current President Uhuru Kenyatta, in his second term, have yet to name their deputies.
The current vice-president William Ruto and the eternal challenger of the opposition and former prime minister Raila Odinga, now allied with former rival Kenyatta, while Ruto, although still in the government, represents the opposition, are still working out the decisive move to checkmate the opponent with alliances that bring votes and strong powers on their side.
The latest survey conducted by Radio Africa Group confirms the trend towards a possible runoff. In fact, neither of the two candidates would have the absolute majority that would allow them to form a new government without alliances, being able to count only on their own party.
Odinga has further reduced the gap separating him from Ruto, still ahead in popular consensus, but the latter according to the polls would have gained just over three percentage points (from 42.7% to 46.1%) while the former prime minister would have risen from 28.6% last July to the current 35.1%, thus gaining 6.5%.
This is because as we move towards August 9, the percentage of undecided candidates decreases.
There do not seem to be any third party candidates who could aspire to become the needles of the scales, if anything the hit would come from whoever manages to bring the entire OKA alliance to his side, made up of Musalia Mudavadi (2.4%) who represents the Luhya ethnic group, Kalonzo Musyoka (1.4%) Kamba and the son of Kenya's second president, Gideon Moi, who is just under one percent.
While waiting for the decisive moves, increases the front of the disappointed and those who will not go to the polls in protest, beginning as happened years ago in Italy to consider politicians a caste of privileged and disinterested in their power games.
Among these are mainly young people to declare that they will not go to the polls and to assume manifestations of protest in the last months of the election campaign.
Peace is preached from all institutional pulpits and recent clashes during rallies in the north of the country have been taken as an example for some preventive actions, such as the arrest of MPs who in their speeches allegedly incited hatred towards rivals, even at county level.
On this fact both Ruto and Odinga seem to be on the same line: first of all clean elections and without those recriminations that in the past rounds have led part of the country to chaos.
He chose the celebrations of Madaraka Day, the day of the Constitution, the President of kenya Uhuru Kenyatta, to make a peaceful announcement and peace in view of the upcoming national elections scheduled for August 8th.
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